Sep
21
Long Island Real Estate Market: Moving Forward
Filed Under Buyers, Sellers, Sellers & Buyers |
In my previous article, Long Island Real Estate Market: It’s Starting To Look Ugly, I struggled with that title for the simple reason, it just sounds aweful. So I wanted to make the next article a bit more positive in tone.
The content of the previous article is filled with facts about declining prices. I wrote it not to discourage homeowners, but to warn them of what lies ahead. While we have a long way to go before prices settle and the Long Island real estate market begins an upward tend, there are many national statistics indicating an end to the market decline.
- “Sales of new homes rose by 2.4% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 515,000 units the Commerce Department said Tuesday.” Source: Commerce Department 8/25/08 - Courtesy of Steve Harney, Keeping Current Matters
- “Existing sales were up 3.1% in July. The sales rate was the highest since February. Sales averaged a pace of 4.95 million the past three months, the same rate as the previous period, indicating that purchases may have touched a bottom.” Source: Bloomberg 8/25/08 - Courtesy of Steve Harney, Keeping Current Matters
- “In a sign that the U.S. housing market may strengthen in coming months, an index of sales contracts on previously owned U.S. homes rose 5.3% in June from the prior month.” Source: MarketWatch 8/07/08 - Courtesy of Steve Harney, Keeping Current Matters
Now these statistics are positive. However (I’m beginning not to like this word very much), these improvements in the marketplace are lagging behind the negative impacts on our financial markets and housing supply vs. demand ratios.
My hesitancy to jump for joy in my articles is simply because I do not want to give the wrong impression to homeowners wanting to sell. It’s imperative that homes are priced aggressively. One of the mistakes people make in listening to the news is they hear terms like, “improvements in sales” and translate that to, “improvements in sale prices”. And that is not the case. We may have sold more homes throughout the Long Island real estate market within the last month or so, but that does not mean, prices improved. It means several other things like, prices dropped to a point where buyers paid the respective price(s), mortgage rates dropped, gasoline prices dropped, and real estate agents marketed their properties harder than ever before.
This paragraph above is key for homeowners to understand. So please, read it again so that you build an understanding of the business of real estate and how the market works.
In closing, I’d like to leave you with some positive quotes from some pretty respectable names in the news. Hopefully they will help us in our attempts to continue moving forward.
- “I am now telling you that between now and the next six months you have to buy a house.” Source: Mad Money Blog 7/23/2008 - Courtesy of Steve Harney, Keeping Current Matters
- “We’re hopefully getting in the vicinity of a bottom,” says David Resler, chief U.S. economist at Nomura Securities International Inc. in New York. Courtesy of Steve Harney, Keeping Current Matters
(c) Copyright, 2008 www.tommcgiveron.com
By Thomas McGiveron, Licensed Real Estate Salesperson, New York State




